Tennis · resolved market
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8daf743de229995ab3d7751b991cf4ae0b4ff19c5cebced53d4dd6fb3f0407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 27c | 2,087$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 1,328$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.5 | 73c | 1,312$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.47 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 1,288$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 26c | 1,112$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under 3.5 | 25c | 1,109$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 30c | 999.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over 3.5 | 70c | 928.92$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 784.76$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 725.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.5 | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 630.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over 3.5 | 74c | 590.54$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.5 | 26c | 466.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over 3.5 | 76c | 436.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 265.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 247.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 222.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 205.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…d77cbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under 3.5 | 26c | 163.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…a86fbacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 163.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 134.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over 3.5 | 74c | 132.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 119.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over 3.5 | 72c | 118.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 106.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…3efebacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 102.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Over 3.5 | 70c | 100.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 3.5 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under 3.5 | 28c | 73.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…307dbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 70.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 56.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under 3.5 | 29c | 53.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…0e9bbacked Over 3.5 | 73c | 51.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.5 | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…4d25backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 37.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 71cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…4d03backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…be44backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…e966backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…2473backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…2d52backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 22.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…4a9fbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…053dbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 20.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs CobolliAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.