Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6628dc4ca4720b41544a52e8cb8595347676f1cd1e983dcd2280b32cddd91a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Team Falcons, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 25,000$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,950.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Team Falcons | 64c | 23,200$14,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,848 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked GamerLegion | 36c | 20,195$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,928.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GamerLegion | 37c | 9,524$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 5,323$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.41 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Falcons | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…1999backed Team Falcons | 64c | 4,789$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,676$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.37 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 4,470$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,052$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.34 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,888$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.44 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,870$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.09 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 2,800$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked GamerLegion | 37c | 2,150$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,500$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.91 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,126$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.37 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GamerLegion | 60c | 1,093$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Team Falcons | 64c | 800.01$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 740.81$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.69 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Falcons | 64c | 739.44$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.24 | 192 | 60.4%116 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…12f5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 699.66$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 666$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Falcons | 63c | 658$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Falcons | 64c | 620.04$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.83 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 618.27$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Falcons | 63c | 557.66$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 370$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Team Falcons | 64c | 335.1$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0e…ea7bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 276.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Falcons | 63c | 224.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Falcons | 64c | 195.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed GamerLegion | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Falcons | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Falcons | 64c | 173$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed GamerLegion | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GamerLegion | 43c | 106.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked GamerLegion | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…f22cbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 90.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked GamerLegion | 62c | 82.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…887abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 72.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed GamerLegion | 37c | 60.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed GamerLegion | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons | 69c | 42.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 427 | 67%286 W · 141 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Falcons | 53c | 42.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Team Falcons | 64c | 39.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…d63bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed GamerLegion | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed GamerLegion | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 24.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed GamerLegion | 79c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed GamerLegion | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.