Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a252be43532e0211c52ec646a8a5e8791315112bd3e81117eb9cafe58147004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0786…0933backed No | 57c | 1,750$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 38c | 608.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 495.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 471.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 24c | 404.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 55c | 344.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 260.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 254.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 64c | 245.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 33c | 227.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 68c | 222.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 26c | 220.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 217.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 71c | 210.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 65c | 201.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 65c | 192.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 186.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 69c | 182.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 63c | 180.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 30c | 176.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 60c | 175.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 27c | 174.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 171.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 33c | 164.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 162.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 32c | 157.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 27c | 157$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 88 | 30.7%27 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 51c | 151.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…79dfbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 33c | 149.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 9c | 137.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 59c | 135.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 33c | 122.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 59c | 116.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 67c | 108.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 100.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed No | 45c | 97.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 95.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 92.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…ef8abacked No | 68c | 91.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 26c | 90.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 87.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 41c | 85.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 66c | 83.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 16c | 82.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 29c | 81.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…3756backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…75b5backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 79.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 42c | 76.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 32c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 74.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed Yes | 49c | 71.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 45c | 71.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 44c | 70.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 65.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 64.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 30c | 63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed No | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 69c | 61.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 33c | 60.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 49c | 50.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 59c | 50.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 68c | 49.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 46c | 47.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 32c | 46.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 33c | 45.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…6f57backed No | 43c | 45.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed Yes | 59c | 43.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 43.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed No | 70c | 41.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 40.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 69c | 40.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 40c | 40.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 60c | 39.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 63c | 38.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Yes | 55c | 38.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…14debacked Yes | 57c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked No | 59c | 33.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 33.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed Yes | 34c | 32.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…a152backed No | 79c | 31.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 68c | 31.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…b233backed Yes | 33c | 30.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 62c | 30.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 62c | 29.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed Yes | 54c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.