Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fe32d4845f830afc0db59fca7909dcdc46eaed83f797a225ad9512600ef948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 7c | 4,693$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 7c | 4,016$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 54c | 3,931$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.23 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed No | 8c | 3,374$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 7c | 3,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…c127backed No | 2c | 2,995$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 7c | 2,989$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…06d2backed No | 6c | 2,870$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked No | 7c | 2,700$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed No | 8c | 2,600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 7c | 1,800$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 80c | 1,487$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 9c | 1,250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 7c | 1,235$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 8c | 1,104$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed No | 39c | 900$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked No | 8c | 900$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 8c | 800$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…fdb6backed No | 47c | 800$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 8c | 775.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 7c | 592.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 9c | 587.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 5c | 539.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 35c | 506$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 47c | 498$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 7c | 471.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 10c | 459.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 12c | 428.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 78c | 349.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 13c | 328.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed No | 9c | 313.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 11c | 258$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 251.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 206.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 47c | 205.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 181.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 179$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked No | 7c | 155$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…6867backed No | 11c | 153.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed No | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 8c | 136.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 13c | 132.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 14c | 129.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…c429backed No | 9c | 128.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…d64ebacked No | 28c | 126.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 102.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 86.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 53c | 84.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 17c | 83.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 14c | 81.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…8966backed No | 47c | 68.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 20c | 67.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 47c | 57.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…cd77backed No | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…9081backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 37.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4127backed Yes | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 56c | 26.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 26.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed No | 68c | 20.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…6b29backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?this page
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?No won
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?No won
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?No won
- Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?No won
- Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?No won
- Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No won
- Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.