Movies · resolved market
Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dfecddafdf9af9646d096752e0848bb65f6b488cc36b028c6a1ea8775d81065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf09a…a36ebacked No | 51c | 530$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 39c | 385.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b9fbbacked Yes | 34c | 100.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 48c | 68.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…6ae9backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 53c | 54.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed Yes | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 55c | 31.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 65c | 20.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…17fdbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…30c2backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…b86fbacked Yes | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…6f29backed Yes | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…e28ebacked Yes | 53c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.