Movies · resolved market
Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3259b98ea437c26bf42daa42f6347229f70713a07203ed08f53ecb05884379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 73c | 1,456$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +345.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,357$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 63c | 800$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 62c | 398.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…5762backed Yes | 38c | 387.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 37c | 216$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 37c | 209.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes | 38c | 140.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 56c | 64.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 37c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Mutiny" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.