Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a4d55074a2e282ae04a1661c7241ac5997919398150eab4236afe07f777639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 31c | 2,169$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.96 | 252 | 32.5%82 W · 170 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 28c | 1,150$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 523 | 28.3%148 W · 375 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 5c | 868.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 440 | 19.1%84 W · 356 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 20c | 811.52$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 1,061 | 10.7%113 W · 948 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 65c | 727.03$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.9 | 117 | 10.3%12 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 18c | 711.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 470 | 23.4%110 W · 360 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes | 10c | 516.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 31c | 489.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 446.97$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 407 | 48.4%197 W · 210 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 68c | 385.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 295 | 48.1%142 W · 153 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 66c | 363.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed Yes | 23c | 290.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 273$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 232 | 60.3%140 W · 92 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 23c | 256.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 335 | 41.8%140 W · 195 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 71c | 251.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 128 | 37.5%48 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 232.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 320 | 55%176 W · 144 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 71c | 229.07$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 72c | 221.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 354 | 70.6%250 W · 104 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…65b1backed Yes | 6c | 200.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 428 | 20.8%89 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 11.4%10 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 177$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 781 | 21.8%170 W · 611 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed No | 75c | 160.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 40c | 159.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 276 | 7.2%20 W · 256 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 128$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,188 | 3.9%85 W · 2,103 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 126.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…ee76backed Yes | 14c | 125.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 111.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 68c | 107.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 34c | 106.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 333 | 43.2%144 W · 189 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 36c | 103.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 71c | 100.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 54c | 99.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 824 | 35.8%295 W · 529 L | -38.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…33a2backed Yes | 43c | 93.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 87.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 69c | 86.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 72c | 85.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 28c | 79.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 73.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 225 | 57.8%130 W · 95 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 26c | 71.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 256 | 55.9%143 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 53c | 69.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 642 | 39.1%251 W · 391 L | +48.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 67.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 67.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 61.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2963backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4609…2951backed Yes | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 29c | 52.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…1d11backed Yes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…76e9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked No | 66c | 44.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 436 | 27.5%120 W · 316 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…eec3backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 68c | 36.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 68c | 35.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…4904backed No | 69c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…7e8ebacked Yes | 44c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 57c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 76c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…4a9dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…2b79backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…47a2backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…e434backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…7c1abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…5f93backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…4ea8backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…1e7abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6118…d31dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…1b11backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…1d24backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…bcfdbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…8f2ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.