Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974dbc1f2330e35bcf8b6bf998cda271cd9ceece3667c8abcf8b52226d848f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 1,929$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.39 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 42c | 1,544$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.36 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 33c | 927.21$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.97 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 550.08$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 488.22$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 54c | 478.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 278.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 7c | 276.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 65c | 270.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 60c | 236.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 59c | 166.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 42c | 149$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 56c | 140.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…64d7backed No | 59c | 139.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 58c | 136.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 57c | 134.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 44c | 113.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 110.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…f04abacked Yes | 72c | 104.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 62 | 79%49 W · 13 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 102.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 35c | 100.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 26c | 93.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 41c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 52c | 85.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 64c | 84.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 43c | 84.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 55c | 83.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 29c | 81.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 59c | 74.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 42c | 73.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 73.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 57c | 69.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 44c | 68.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 59c | 66.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f9…2ce9backed Yes | 40c | 64.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 56c | 64.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 58c | 62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 36c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 53.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 26c | 51.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 63c | 49.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 60c | 49.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 48.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 57c | 45.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 43c | 42.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 41c | 40.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 39c | 33.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 33c | 33.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 33.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 32.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 31.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 62c | 29.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 62c | 28.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 198 | 61.1%121 W · 77 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 69c | 27.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 74c | 26.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 55c | 24.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed No | 55c | 24.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 69c | 23.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…eaa7backed No | 58c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…7e4ebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.