CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98dcbf04112f5c1bf550fa02b6a31f3725eee758b54d5f264d12968f24c67b11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof Nemiga, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 60c | 5,948$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 56c | 5,340$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.49 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Nemiga | 61c | 3,840$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.24 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Nemiga | 52c | 3,600$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.59 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 49c | 3,309$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Nemiga | 40c | 2,966$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Nemiga | 37c | 2,854$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.06 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed TDK | 80c | 2,602$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.47 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 61c | 2,136$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…20bbbacked Nemiga | 46c | 1,822$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Nemiga | 29c | 1,752$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nemiga | 36c | 1,615$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.01 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 77c | 1,485$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked TDK | 51c | 1,407$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 54c | 1,286$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.05 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Nemiga | 56c | 913$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 44c | 912.21$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed TDK | 50c | 797.69$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.29 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Nemiga | 17c | 751.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed TDK | 64c | 610.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Nemiga | 50c | 540.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nemiga | 42c | 477.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Nemiga | 42c | 433.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked TDK | 47c | 406.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Nemiga | 41c | 377.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Nemiga | 39c | 369.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nemiga | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 28c | 311.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Nemiga | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nemiga | 17c | 262.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga | 59c | 252.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 55c | 251.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nemiga | 30c | 221.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…4debbacked Nemiga | 57c | 217.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK | 43c | 196$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Nemiga | 56c | 174.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed TDK | 49c | 169.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga | 24c | 168.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Nemiga | 60c | 166.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked TDK | 72c | 162$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nemiga | 24c | 158.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Nemiga | 55c | 156.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Nemiga | 51c | 155.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga | 41c | 127.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Nemiga | 67c | 122$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga | 22c | 103.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga | 40c | 99.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed TDK | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked TDK | 75c | 86.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga | 74c | 84.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…850ebacked Nemiga | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 20c | 69.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Nemiga | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed TDK | 19c | 60.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked TDK | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Nemiga | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TDK | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 64c | 54.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nemiga | 37c | 53.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed TDK | 70c | 52.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked TDK | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4829backed Nemiga | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Nemiga | 65c | 47.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga | 30c | 44.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed Nemiga | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Nemiga | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed TDK | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Nemiga | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nemiga | 46c | 31.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga | 45c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…a705backed TDK | 60c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TDK | 69c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.