CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65f5ef51b4beef059407e20837d4caeb682dcc390d2feb74207df3afe7cf44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 13c | 922.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 65c | 821.03$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked TDK | 28c | 264$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 71c | 262.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Nemiga | 74c | 220$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 70c | 150.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 58c | 148.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed TDK | 29c | 137.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Nemiga | 33c | 136.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Nemiga | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed TDK | 70c | 100.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked TDK | 44c | 80.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed TDK | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed TDK | 64c | 72.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nemiga | 72c | 41.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed TDK | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked TDK | 29c | 37.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked TDK | 65c | 33.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Nemiga | 49c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed TDK | 65c | 26.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed TDK | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.