CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb688ff2f48eccd84daf91ffa7de0f2fd3e0295fb605406ee63eacded95b25ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof Nemiga, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 45c | 6,203$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked TDK | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed TDK | 44c | 3,300$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.29 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TDK | 50c | 3,182$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.87 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 48c | 2,216$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Nemiga | 33c | 1,346$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed TDK | 56c | 1,294$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.03 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed TDK | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.93 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 64c | 908.15$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 79c | 780$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nemiga | 49c | 580$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked TDK | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Nemiga | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…20bbbacked Nemiga | 30c | 416.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TDK | 66c | 409.69$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed TDK | 55c | 402.36$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Nemiga | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Nemiga | 40c | 398.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed TDK | 43c | 369.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.89 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed TDK | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 30c | 329.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked TDK | 75c | 309.67$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga | 43c | 297.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…9120backed TDK | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…9a49backed TDK | 57c | 263.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nemiga | 53c | 253.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nemiga | 16c | 242.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed TDK | 42c | 239.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 48c | 229.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 32c | 229.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nemiga | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Nemiga | 32c | 178.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Nemiga | 44c | 174.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga | 23c | 168.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed TDK | 64c | 153.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga | 55c | 151.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga | 33c | 141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Nemiga | 55c | 136.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Nemiga | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…b2d2backed Nemiga | 33c | 116.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked TDK | 43c | 115.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Nemiga | 49c | 109.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…850ebacked TDK | 57c | 105.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nemiga | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked TDK | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed TDK | 61c | 94.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed TDK | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga | 32c | 88.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nemiga | 49c | 85.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed TDK | 59c | 85.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked TDK | 66c | 83.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Nemiga | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga | 45c | 73.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed TDK | 64c | 61.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Nemiga | 58c | 59.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Nemiga | 29c | 58.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…696fbacked TDK | 63c | 58.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Nemiga | 57c | 57.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed TDK | 58c | 47.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed TDK | 47c | 47.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga | 24c | 44.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Nemiga | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga | 53c | 39.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed Nemiga | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nemiga | 37c | 28.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed TDK | 54c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed TDK | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.