TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1WINof 1WIN, INOX Division
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0478…37c3backed 1WIN44c5,688$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1859952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed INOX Division56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked 1WIN38c1,717$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.231533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked INOX Division59c706.04$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.866965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked 1WIN41c641$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.849536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN36c637.75$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.165,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed INOX Division56c588.47$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.541,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…3eb8backed 1WIN73c561.77$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.778461.9%52 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 1WIN43c555.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.221,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed INOX Division10c473.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4680942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN39c430.42$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed INOX Division65c422.22$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed 1WIN38c320.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked INOX Division21c235.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division25c221.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.464,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed 1WIN43c221.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2437057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN70c203$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.682,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed INOX Division56c198.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3337848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division44c195$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.325,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN56c194.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked INOX Division17c181.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.082,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked 1WIN34c176.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5875833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked INOX Division27c165.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.843,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 1WIN36c156$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.512,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division18c155.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed 1WIN42c148.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed INOX Division12c146.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked INOX Division22c145.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked INOX Division32c139.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.551,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked 1WIN29c132.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.671,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 1WIN35c119$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.242,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 1WIN50c117.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed 1WIN50c102.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4573948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 1WIN41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked INOX Division13c95.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.213,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN45c94.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.552,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed 1WIN42c90.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6135141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed 1WIN47c81.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.325635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed 1WIN40c76.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN56c72.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed 1WIN41c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.717856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed 1WIN55c65.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.276333.3%21 W · 42 L-11.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed 1WIN42c64.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.531,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed 1WIN54c58.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0949850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked INOX Division58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025457.5%146 W · 108 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked 1WIN43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed INOX Division40c47.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1712544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked INOX Division77c37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed 1WIN38c35.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1416351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked 1WIN52c35.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.058240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed 1WIN34c33.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.114439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked INOX Division42c30.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.812,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed 1WIN50c27.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9151446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed INOX Division56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.247054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed INOX Division57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1WIN77c13.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.131,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.