Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406d8d9a608be977e0aec0d87af48b01ec6fd7fc914e9a21f5ebbb54e27bd2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 33c | 9,172$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.55 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 11c | 5,868$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.96 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 5,774$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 2,372$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 1,339$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 66c | 1,286$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.16 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 70c | 921.66$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.52 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 80c | 871.93$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 38c | 798.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.79 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 8c | 549.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.62 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Under | 46c | 486.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 50c | 389.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 61c | 344.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 37c | 312.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 55c | 293.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 68c | 291.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 61c | 289.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 228.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 208.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 75c | 206.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 65c | 186.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efa…51fdbacked Over | 58c | 183.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 177.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 174.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 30c | 171.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 160.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 67c | 108.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Under | 77c | 96.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 37c | 94.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 52c | 68.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 66c | 65.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Over | 27c | 55.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 54.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 69c | 52.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 66c | 45.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 66c | 39.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…7188backed Over | 56c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 34.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 34.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 71c | 29.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked Over | 53c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 68c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 69c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 147 | 68.7%101 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)North Macedonia won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)North Macedonia won
- Spread: North Macedonia (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.