Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a771881e8419c11e5de70a8c439d8fb89da09edf6a7b2b41c233d50aebf700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,956$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,826$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,470$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,375$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 36c | 663.83$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 66c | 647.02$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 66c | 642.68$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 629$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 41c | 598.24$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 34c | 587.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 80c | 476.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 67c | 432.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 368.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…c696backed Over | 62c | 343.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 260$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 258.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 52c | 222.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 11c | 182.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 178.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 18c | 138.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Over | 28c | 111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…615abacked Over | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 18c | 92.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 90.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 29c | 82.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 38c | 77.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…576dbacked Over | 24c | 66.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 35c | 64.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 67c | 41.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 37c | 41.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 34c | 34.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 23.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)North Macedonia won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)North Macedonia won
- Spread: North Macedonia (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.