Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da51ed99512c22bd5c6e9a0de17885d36f10cd3ca32a8c44cd1ef6da0e5ebef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Macedoniaof Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb897…c669backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 592.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked North Macedonia | 69c | 421.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed North Macedonia | 69c | 421.93$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 29c | 313.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 25c | 276.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 10c | 226.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed North Macedonia | 71c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 22c | 89.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Macedonia | 71c | 49.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed North Macedonia | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked North Macedonia | 71c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked North Macedonia | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed North Macedonia | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)North Macedonia won
- Spread: North Macedonia (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.