Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Mathys Erhard vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9543d9ab815b7c88f5f94c60591f6a0734857140b557f2637f08e83ca99d863f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mathys Erhardof Mathys Erhard, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jurij Rodionov | 26c | 4,186$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.17 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mathys Erhard | 26c | 3,083$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.59 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 2,312$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.96 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard | 68c | 1,363$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 1,347$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.34 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mathys Erhard | 79c | 1,243$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 1,013$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Mathys Erhard | 26c | 728.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mathys Erhard | 70c | 669.5$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 652$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 641.26$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mathys Erhard | 70c | 619.91$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mathys Erhard | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mathys Erhard | 25c | 597.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.13 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 584.68$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.49 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 564.5$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.19 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mathys Erhard | 71c | 286.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 276.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jurij Rodionov | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 241.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 27c | 239.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Jurij Rodionov | 24c | 232.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 230.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 215.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 63c | 206.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mathys Erhard | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 199.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jurij Rodionov | 6c | 198.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Mathys Erhard | 25c | 185.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 178.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Mathys Erhard | 22c | 177.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 171.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jurij Rodionov | 39c | 162.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 158$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 151.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 145.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mathys Erhard | 72c | 137.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mathys Erhard | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 120.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Mathys Erhard | 29c | 115.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mathys Erhard | 74c | 109.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mathys Erhard | 74c | 107.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jurij Rodionov | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Jurij Rodionov | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jurij Rodionov | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Jurij Rodionov | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Jurij Rodionov | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Jurij Rodionov | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Mathys Erhard | 30c | 41.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mathys Erhard | 35c | 40.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 35.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 32.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Mathys Erhard | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Mathys Erhard | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Jurij Rodionov | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Jurij Rodionov | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milan: Mathys Erhard vs Jurij Rodionovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Erhard vs RodionovErhard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.