Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x375905f06cd92d73b5cc1131158d77368f3e6ece5dc21a1ab9200d64368f8bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osakaof Osaka, Jacquemot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Osaka | 69c | 3,154$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.61 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Jacquemot | 31c | 2,065$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jacquemot | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Osaka | 75c | 249$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Jacquemot | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jacquemot | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jacquemot | 33c | 138.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Jacquemot | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jacquemot | 31c | 105.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…7c65backed Jacquemot | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Jacquemot | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Osaka | 73c | 67.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Osaka | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…a68fbacked Jacquemot | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Osaka | 65c | 53.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Osaka | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Jacquemot | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Osaka | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Jacquemot | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Osaka | 61c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jacquemot | 44c | 28.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Osaka | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Osaka | 66c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)this page
- Elsa Jacquemot vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jacquemot vs OsakaOsaka won
- Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi OsakaNaomi Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.