MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf1f491b2aa1256965d8dd5607654d40fd22dc83fd214b429a153dc66b3cc98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Kiwoom Heroes, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 411.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed NC Dinos | 73c | 387.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 70c | 376.88$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 7c | 369.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 223.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 190.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 180.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 179.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed NC Dinos | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 132.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 70c | 124.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…a401backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 87.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed NC Dinos | 72c | 78.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 70c | 76.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 70c | 74.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 71.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed NC Dinos | 70c | 70.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 57.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NC Dinos | 56c | 56.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 55.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 44.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 42.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 74c | 41.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed NC Dinos | 51c | 40.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 73c | 40.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed NC Dinos | 54c | 37.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 36.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 28.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed NC Dinos | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed NC Dinos | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a1bfbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4ad4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…53ccbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…2df4backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…8663backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…8c12backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…67b6backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…8e0ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed NC Dinos | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NC Dinos | 71c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed NC Dinos | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.