Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9401487c956635f9f5a6939ccbe01fd6f7c6e624433caa719b8af656803bf950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Williamsof Joint, Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Joint | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Williams | 60c | 2,858$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.33 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Williams | 60c | 998.17$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Williams | 58c | 946.69$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.69 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Joint | 34c | 696.92$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Williams | 65c | 461.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Williams | 63c | 413$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Williams | 60c | 400.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Williams | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Joint | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Joint | 39c | 297.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Joint | 36c | 252.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…0396backed Williams | 60c | 252.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed Joint | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Williams | 59c | 230.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Williams | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Joint | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Joint | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Joint | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Williams | 65c | 154.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Williams | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Joint | 30c | 136.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Joint | 41c | 118.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Joint | 35c | 102.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…78d6backed Joint | 52c | 98.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Williams | 60c | 94.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Williams | 60c | 85.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Williams | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Williams | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Joint | 54c | 76.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Williams | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Joint | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Joint | 43c | 57.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Williams | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Joint | 62c | 51.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Williams | 60c | 38.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Williams | 60c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Williams | 60c | 35.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Williams | 57c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…545bbacked Joint | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Joint | 40c | 34.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Williams | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Williams | 64c | 32.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Joint | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Williams | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Williams | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Joint | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Williams | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Williams vs JointJoint won
- Set 2 Winner: Williams vs JointWilliams won
- Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya JointMaya Joint won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.