Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Miguel Damas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5838264762005cb3e74033b5b12e7066cb2bb85e313148af0f6a62d2b3c1ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Miguel Damas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miguel Damas | 22c | 1,486$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Miguel Damas | 20c | 1,326$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Miguel Damas | 11c | 735.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Miguel Damas | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 440.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 62c | 405.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Miguel Damas | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Miguel Damas | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Miguel Damas | 38c | 245.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miguel Damas | 23c | 240.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Miguel Damas | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Miguel Damas | 15c | 163.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miguel Damas | 12c | 147.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 63c | 143.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 136.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Miguel Damas | 42c | 119.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miguel Damas | 35c | 113.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miguel Damas | 36c | 113.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Miguel Damas | 37c | 105.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Damas | 11c | 104.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Miguel Damas | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Miguel Damas | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 65c | 76.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Miguel Damas | 22c | 55.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miguel Damas | 35c | 54.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Miguel Damas | 33c | 45.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 66c | 31.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 63c | 30.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 14.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milan: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Miguel Damasthis page
- Diego Dedura-Palomero vs. Miguel Damas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.