Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ea66ed246fa8d754ed57fd861a1cf7a755feb72a4c2c4c54a96ecf8cb027e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 47c | 7,734$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.12 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,805$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 2,636$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 53c | 1,429$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.79 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 51c | 538.19$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 50c | 501$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 68c | 426.28$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…507abacked Yes | 53c | 389.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 49c | 343.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 51c | 341$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…6163backed Yes | 50c | 340.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…cebbbacked No | 50c | 338.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…8bb9backed No | 50c | 333.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 40c | 328.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…a12abacked No | 61c | 326.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 46c | 314.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 310.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 264.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 177.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 145.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 47c | 134.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 133.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 131.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 60c | 117.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed No | 48c | 103.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 46c | 100.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 16c | 96.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 58c | 89.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 57c | 88.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 60c | 83.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 71.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 52c | 68.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…55c2backed No | 45c | 66.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 47c | 60.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…2e45backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Yes | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 38.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed No | 50c | 33.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…921bbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 29.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 53c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…aa22backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 59c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…d92ebacked Yes | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to win the second half?this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?No won
- DR Congo to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.