Champions League · resolved market
Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f2cbb9a6757bee842c88916be9c95bc7a1ab2e0b05810b4cb927ab2d0e554c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,096$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,592$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 7c | 1,231$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 8c | 923$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 17c | 423.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 73c | 343.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 26c | 336.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 18c | 219.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 199.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 80c | 164.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 7c | 159.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 130.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…07cebacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 18c | 67.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 55.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 41.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 78c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-08?this page
- Will FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.