TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Zagreb: Luka Mikrut vs Chris Rodesch

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chris Rodeschof Luka Mikrut, Chris Rodesch
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0979…8d9bbacked Chris Rodesch51c19,580$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,580.3914757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Luka Mikrut49c5,559$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Chris Rodesch53c3,619$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.9125453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Luka Mikrut47c3,189$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.831,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Luka Mikrut52c2,412$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.0221244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luka Mikrut75c2,288$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luka Mikrut79c2,166$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.084,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed Chris Rodesch51c1,963$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.841546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Luka Mikrut49c1,763$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Mikrut52c1,135$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.14,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Chris Rodesch27c952.23$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.741,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Mikrut47c950$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Mikrut48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Luka Mikrut47c658.64$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5622352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chris Rodesch17c619.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.088,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Luka Mikrut48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Chris Rodesch53c565.02$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.561,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Chris Rodesch53c547.42$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Chris Rodesch49c544.42$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.881,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Chris Rodesch8c507.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Luka Mikrut51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009533.7%32 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Chris Rodesch51c390.59$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.396758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luka Mikrut50c378.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.197,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Chris Rodesch56c357.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2365840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Luka Mikrut76c328.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luka Mikrut51c309.71$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.875,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Luka Mikrut47c286.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.652,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Luka Mikrut47c276.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.891,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chris Rodesch8c274.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Chris Rodesch48c209.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9114757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chris Rodesch49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Luka Mikrut51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9810350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Chris Rodesch51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0881256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Chris Rodesch19c164.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.111,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Chris Rodesch8c160.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.262,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Luka Mikrut50c156.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9325245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Luka Mikrut50c155.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.42,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Luka Mikrut49c139.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.612,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Luka Mikrut61c135.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.932,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Luka Mikrut46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Luka Mikrut46c104.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8627147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Chris Rodesch53c103.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Luka Mikrut53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5356062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Luka Mikrut51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luka Mikrut78c97.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Luka Mikrut54c95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5514531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed Chris Rodesch46c95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.359458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Chris Rodesch23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.964847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Luka Mikrut51c86.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2796844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Luka Mikrut48c74.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Chris Rodesch21c73.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5619051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Chris Rodesch47c72.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.151644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Chris Rodesch48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Chris Rodesch48c68.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.837,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Luka Mikrut50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8743067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Chris Rodesch53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1414856.8%84 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Luka Mikrut49c60.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Chris Rodesch50c60.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Luka Mikrut49c58.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8389859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Luka Mikrut46c56.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Luka Mikrut70c46.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9613268.9%91 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Chris Rodesch47c46.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.675262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7b…5b8ebacked Luka Mikrut53c44.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Chris Rodesch68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Luka Mikrut63c43.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.436,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Luka Mikrut46c42.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Chris Rodesch49c40.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5456…689cbacked Luka Mikrut54c37.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Luka Mikrut68c34.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luka Mikrut47c32.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.463,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Chris Rodesch54c31.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4786470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Chris Rodesch51c30.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Luka Mikrut49c30.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea5…04f6backed Chris Rodesch53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Luka Mikrut79c27.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Luka Mikrut73c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1341768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Luka Mikrut79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a68…611ebacked Luka Mikrut53c23.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Chris Rodesch48c22.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.