Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Justin Engel vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917da7a11c8550bb8d3a9018e8212917b4183c1e3f7fff9b631d5367debbde02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejo Sanchez Quilezof Justin Engel, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Justin Engel | 24c | 16,193$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.7 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 75c | 6,445$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.86 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justin Engel | 14c | 2,609$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Justin Engel | 12c | 1,599$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Justin Engel | 14c | 1,480$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 70c | 1,199$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Justin Engel | 19c | 819.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Justin Engel | 2c | 654.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 76c | 636.48$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 78c | 613.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Justin Engel | 10c | 499.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Justin Engel | 20c | 445$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Justin Engel | 21c | 444.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Justin Engel | 22c | 428.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 73c | 427.39$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 48c | 411.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Justin Engel | 23c | 332.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 46c | 317.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Justin Engel | 16c | 314.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Justin Engel | 55c | 262.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Justin Engel | 8c | 262.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 79c | 219.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Justin Engel | 10c | 199.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 79c | 169.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 45c | 153.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Justin Engel | 17c | 151.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Justin Engel | 21c | 147.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Justin Engel | 22c | 146.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 76c | 120.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Justin Engel | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Justin Engel | 55c | 117.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Justin Engel | 55c | 113.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Justin Engel | 55c | 108.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Justin Engel | 55c | 105.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Justin Engel | 16c | 101.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Justin Engel | 19c | 97.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Justin Engel | 19c | 93.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Justin Engel | 23c | 93.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Justin Engel | 30c | 83.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Justin Engel | 54c | 81.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Justin Engel | 15c | 67.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Justin Engel | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Justin Engel | 19c | 59.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Justin Engel | 55c | 54.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Justin Engel | 54c | 51.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Justin Engel | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 46c | 46.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Justin Engel | 55c | 44.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 46c | 40.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Justin Engel | 27c | 38.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 46c | 38.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Justin Engel | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Justin Engel | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 80c | 30.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Justin Engel | 55c | 29.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Justin Engel | 55c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Justin Engel | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked Justin Engel | 54c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Justin Engel | 55c | 22.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Justin Engel | 55c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.