TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 3: Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Assche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luca Van Asscheof Timofey Skatov, Luca Van Assche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Timofey Skatov20c4,365$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.548,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timofey Skatov4c1,913$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Luca Van Assche72c1,644$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.425466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Van Assche77c1,466$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.084,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timofey Skatov40c1,433$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.367,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timofey Skatov16c1,413$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Luca Van Assche63c1,299$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3839534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Timofey Skatov36c1,005$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7632247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Timofey Skatov37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Timofey Skatov38c809.86$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.554763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Luca Van Assche56c794.87$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0134047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Luca Van Assche63c630.4$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Luca Van Assche63c625.79$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5429444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timofey Skatov5c605.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.153,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Timofey Skatov38c570.2$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.639643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Timofey Skatov21c481.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.472,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Timofey Skatov21c443.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2918133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Luca Van Assche65c390.7$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Van Assche65c384.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.612,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timofey Skatov27c303.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Timofey Skatov28c299.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.715,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Luca Van Assche63c293.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5415151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timofey Skatov38c288.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7658639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Timofey Skatov12c272.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.062,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Timofey Skatov42c242.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.271,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Timofey Skatov10c226.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Timofey Skatov35c226.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2658232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Timofey Skatov37c219.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4520331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Luca Van Assche57c219.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Timofey Skatov28c198.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.394,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Timofey Skatov12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.685846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Timofey Skatov36c183.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9658734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed Luca Van Assche77c177.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.784575.6%34 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Luca Van Assche63c156.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.891,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Luca Van Assche63c156.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8930349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Luca Van Assche64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.044757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Luca Van Assche64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0438664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Luca Van Assche65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7240264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Timofey Skatov19c146.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.576,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Timofey Skatov36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0819055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Timofey Skatov37c130.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1128454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Luca Van Assche76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Luca Van Assche65c127.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0429652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Timofey Skatov36c126.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5211945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Luca Van Assche64c123.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5450156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Luca Van Assche64c123.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.545961%36 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Luca Van Assche64c123.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Luca Van Assche63c118$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.661,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Timofey Skatov36c111.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0425342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Timofey Skatov36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Luca Van Assche63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.189257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Luca Van Assche52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Luca Van Assche64c92.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4629952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Timofey Skatov39c83.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7681457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Timofey Skatov25c83.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8636839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Luca Van Assche65c76.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0730555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Luca Van Assche64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Luca Van Assche64c72.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Luca Van Assche66c71.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2219344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Timofey Skatov35c70.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.569750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Luca Van Assche50c66.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4338754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Luca Van Assche65c65.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.272,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Timofey Skatov36c65.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4313151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Timofey Skatov21c62.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2221949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Timofey Skatov29c62.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.842,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Timofey Skatov45c61.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.423,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Timofey Skatov44c59.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9218447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Timofey Skatov43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3664358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luca Van Assche75c51.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.842,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Timofey Skatov36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Luca Van Assche65c49.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2841668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Timofey Skatov42c47.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Luca Van Assche78c46.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Luca Van Assche66c42.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2623057%131 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Timofey Skatov36c39.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.051,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Timofey Skatov36c39.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Timofey Skatov36c39.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0518459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Luca Van Assche76c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Luca Van Assche64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7631463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Timofey Skatov36c37.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Luca Van Assche63c35.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2914958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Timofey Skatov36c35.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6560355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Luca Van Assche63c34.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Luca Van Assche75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3318478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Luca Van Assche80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Van Assche63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4959366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Luca Van Assche63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Luca Van Assche63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Luca Van Assche80c30.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1852457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Luca Van Assche63c30.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Timofey Skatov37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9813553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Timofey Skatov36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83928.2%11 W · 28 L-8.0wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Luca Van Assche66c29.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2455059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Luca Van Assche63c26.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7533650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Van Assche64c23.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Luca Van Assche79c22.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7725265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Luca Van Assche54c21.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7256754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…3be8backed Luca Van Assche64c20.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Luca Van Assche64c16.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0515146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.