MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe901129bb3629cb4ba367890d24e195c233fef0a9877ef2f786f51fd7c64440f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 102,040$49,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,045.21 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 84,436$43,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,062.5 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 60c | 16,675$10,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.31 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 13,098$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 9,673$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 8,486$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed Under | 3c | 6,562$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 5,720$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 71c | 5,105$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under | 80c | 4,386$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.37 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -7.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 2,996$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 2,638$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 38c | 2,141$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.37 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 2,133$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.55 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,657$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.21 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 58c | 1,553$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,291$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.42 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 52c | 1,118$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.72 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 61c | 1,068$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.76 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 999.59$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed Over | 7c | 734.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +352.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 72c | 411.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 336.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 29c | 304.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 80c | 279.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 51c | 276.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 5c | 251.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 51c | 247.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 205.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 184$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 182.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 40c | 171.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 165.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 13c | 116.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 111.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 109.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 46c | 107.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 62c | 105.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 42c | 105.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 58c | 87.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 82.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 59c | 79.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 19c | 63.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 59c | 61.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 51c | 58.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 37c | 53.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 35c | 49.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 64c | 47.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 62c | 45.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 31c | 36.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 64c | 28.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 28.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 53c | 26.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 44c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…2187backed Under | 57c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 51c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…3be8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.