TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof NRG, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2302…d6d2backed NRG38c42,518$16,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,129.4424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Legacy62c21,963$13,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,351.415245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy62c19,544$12,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,426.7276657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Legacy52c12,584$6,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.383,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed NRG56c9,992$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,595.396243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG38c5,108$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.1451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG41c4,788$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.492,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Legacy47c4,139$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.2241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Legacy59c3,832$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.0824346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Legacy49c3,405$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.819850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG43c3,071$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.481,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG44c3,008$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.1487847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG51c2,324$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.722,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG45c2,158$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9689546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed NRG38c1,855$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.7923343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Legacy59c1,805$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.9778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Legacy51c1,763$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.051,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG45c1,720$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.781,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Legacy62c1,576$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.9337445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG39c1,564$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.821,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Legacy62c1,405$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy67c1,396$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.396,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NRG46c1,338$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.9139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG47c1,195$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.141,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG39c1,181$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.454,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Legacy63c1,001$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.431451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked NRG2c918.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.37924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Legacy70c886.7$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1645357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Legacy46c733.89$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.753447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked NRG14c668.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5719540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Legacy66c644.61$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.796144.3%27 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG2c522.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0570423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Legacy62c420.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6745565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG40c414.26$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.765351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Legacy54c413.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6710347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed NRG51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9914454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed NRG40c390.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1830527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Legacy53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.711546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Legacy53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.77757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Legacy53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.712352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Legacy54c382.37$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.249058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Legacy54c381.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.618552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Legacy54c381.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.613158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Legacy54c381.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.616168.9%42 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Legacy54c381.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.615466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Legacy54c381.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.616854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Legacy53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.367857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed NRG7c361.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.443215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Legacy54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.676060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG14c358.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked NRG27c358.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.614843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Legacy68c355.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.728458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Legacy60c349.32$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2439258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Legacy62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.791040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked NRG38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143925.6%10 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Legacy59c299.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9953945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked NRG21c282.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6637441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed NRG32c280.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked NRG53c264.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9939553.7%212 W · 183 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed NRG38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9538950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Legacy62c244.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8321351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.565,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG53c220.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6246949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked NRG25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.519741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NRG19c200.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0653737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed NRG35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Legacy64c198.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5518342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f19…7780backed Legacy47c198.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Legacy53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.187653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Legacy54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.835261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e97…0bd0backed NRG54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed Legacy63c172.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.684955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf8…8bb4backed NRG36c164.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3960%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed NRG39c160.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6237232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Legacy54c152.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.493138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked NRG38c149.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Legacy62c149.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8120251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Legacy67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2814856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Legacy53c137.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4417756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Legacy76c130.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.774654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked NRG56c128.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.445658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Legacy61c126.92$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…b266backed NRG39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.173548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…589abacked Legacy50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Legacy50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed NRG40c98.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5253850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Legacy59c97.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1463541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Legacy63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1869253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed NRG46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5150947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…58c4backed NRG29c92.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9111768.4%80 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed NRG54c92.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.783828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked NRG42c92.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6337240.3%150 W · 222 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Legacy53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.096060%36 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Legacy54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.429758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Legacy54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG38c89.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Legacy58c87.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9338942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Legacy51c82.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.568172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.