CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc5618cbe0f033e5414114b7e99fd6616358d132b0461ea10e3b6410120e79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Legacy | 46c | 3,218$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.12 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NRG | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Legacy | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.8 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked NRG | 53c | 1,456$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.55 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed NRG | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 58c | 702.76$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NRG | 60c | 529.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Legacy | 38c | 470.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed NRG | 62c | 465.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed NRG | 33c | 152.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Legacy | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 47c | 98.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…383ebacked NRG | 48c | 90.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Legacy | 44c | 85.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 55c | 75.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Legacy | 45c | 73.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed NRG | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NRG | 61c | 64.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed NRG | 56c | 55.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Legacy | 39c | 49.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Legacy | 54c | 46.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NRG | 53c | 43.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Legacy | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed NRG | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Legacy | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.