Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49a002952d1474a60cce8775a013f91ecaead844d8a2f1b32a69f5f89c9589f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, VMI Keydets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 5,057$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed VMI Keydets | 53c | 4,198$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.25 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked VMI Keydets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked VMI Keydets | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 1,525$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 824$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 684$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed VMI Keydets | 54c | 611.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 454.55$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed VMI Keydets | 56c | 183$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed VMI Keydets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked VMI Keydets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked VMI Keydets | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed VMI Keydets | 56c | 57.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed VMI Keydets | 57c | 38.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed VMI Keydets | 54c | 36.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed Furman Paladins | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Furman Paladins | 46c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Furman Paladins | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-13.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI KeydetsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 145.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-11.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.