Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1191026fca623be485f14ddf71d23fa276f68e2fa44831033d1f75ef3fecbb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 62,505$31,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,710.56 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,888$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 8,555$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 8,345$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.17 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 4,590$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.3 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 47c | 2,967$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 46c | 2,838$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.05 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 816.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 652$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 570$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 225.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 209.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 190.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 176$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Under | 47c | 50.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Under | 47c | 46.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 37.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Under | 49c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…60e2backed Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 146.5this page
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI KeydetsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-11.5)Furman Paladins won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-13.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.