Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83da8b9b1089466beaa009a1a850070f1f5c47f8ddb11b02beb3d8a4dee410a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof Tarleton State Texans, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 62,339$29,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,029.19 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 39,170$20,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,746.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 9,178$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 6,060$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.85 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 5,557$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.04 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 2,711$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.47 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 2,310$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.1 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 2,277$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 769.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 721$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 638.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 600.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 265.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 231.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 131.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 73c | 125.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tarleton State Texans | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 74c | 118.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 117.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 109.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 95.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 69.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 61.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 58.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 57.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 46.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 69c | 45.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 40.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 28.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…8d08backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 27.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tarleton State Texans | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State TexansTarleton State Texans won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 133.5Under won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 134.5Under won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-2.5)Tarleton State Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.