Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09343192c0001716688dcf47aa0c106f9896158613e88d6b59d3a4a6f82dcf9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 50,741$23,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,616.91 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 38,815$20,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,049.5 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,004$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 54c | 780.85$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 56c | 539.92$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 56c | 527$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 230.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 51c | 166.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Over | 24c | 74.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +827.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 72.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 62.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 73c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 51c | 55.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…e50fbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 73c | 25.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 135.5this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State TexansTarleton State Texans won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 133.5Under won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)Tarleton State Texans won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-2.5)Tarleton State Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.