Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs En-Shuo Liang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeaf93f1682aa59fdd2caea987681912eabdfaa89eeda559d3c91be7798a5621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomovaof Tomova, Liang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tomova | 45c | 4,697$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liang | 47c | 2,960$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liang | 46c | 2,400$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.1 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Tomova | 46c | 1,438$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.6 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Liang | 78c | 1,340$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.31 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liang | 35c | 728.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tomova | 53c | 688.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liang | 54c | 638.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.07 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Liang | 47c | 582.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liang | 51c | 536.53$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.09 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Liang | 57c | 469.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.55 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liang | 48c | 431.44$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Liang | 41c | 403.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tomova | 54c | 400.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Liang | 39c | 349.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tomova | 60c | 312$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Tomova | 61c | 308.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Liang | 72c | 278.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Liang | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Tomova | 41c | 244.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Tomova | 63c | 242.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Liang | 56c | 231.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Liang | 49c | 222.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liang | 38c | 218.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Liang | 34c | 216.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Liang | 49c | 200.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tomova | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Tomova | 55c | 180.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liang | 58c | 149.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Tomova | 49c | 136.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Tomova | 75c | 128.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Tomova | 62c | 125.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Liang | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Tomova | 45c | 118.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Liang | 41c | 109$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Tomova | 62c | 100.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Liang | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Liang | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Tomova | 62c | 99.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Tomova | 29c | 97.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Tomova | 54c | 92.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liang | 37c | 85.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Tomova | 47c | 67.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Tomova | 27c | 63.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Liang | 80c | 62.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Liang | 41c | 61.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Tomova | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Tomova | 37c | 54.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Tomova | 57c | 52.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Tomova | 67c | 47.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liang | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Tomova | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Tomova | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…ad2fbacked Tomova | 55c | 40.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Tomova | 59c | 40.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…c3e2backed Tomova | 63c | 39.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Liang | 40c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liang | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Liang | 41c | 36.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Tomova | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Liang | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tomova | 64c | 30.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Liang | 39c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Liang | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tomova | 62c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…9e47backed Liang | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tomova | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Liang | 49c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Tomova | 57c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Tomova | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Liang | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…296dbacked Tomova | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Liang | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.