TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed No50c30,026$15,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0135356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,35012448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c5,168$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.552,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c4,529$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.519253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c3,330$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.654,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c1,982$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.662,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes50c1,734$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8672860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x63c7…04d7backed No54c946$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafae…4b33backed Yes46c941$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df0…8963backed Yes46c936$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…e67abacked No54c931$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No53c676.72$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.251,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes46c500$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27210547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Yes44c393.86$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c384.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.541,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c358.52$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.386,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9951…63d5backed Yes47c291.36$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No17c256.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6713327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c239$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0649544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No53c235.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…f5f3backed Yes46c223.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c218.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes47c214.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.43154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6319…6452backed No54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…93c9backed Yes46c203$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73f5…008bbacked Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No53c199.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9939651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…08edbacked No54c198$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No56c170.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes45c170.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No45c163$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No52c119.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3829343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8614636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5928531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No53c90.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.258646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes50c89.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c87.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.116456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No55c81.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0915347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed No32c79.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.353528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes45c73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1517153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.541,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c68.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.186437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.226261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Yes47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes79c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No53c50.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7417053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846a…dbb0backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes44c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9135134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No50c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.844682.6%38 W · 8 L+9.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+41.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes48c36.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.842853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No50c35.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.759443.6%41 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No47c31.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.849246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.132755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Yes44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No48c25.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.