Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37aa35f1e923550cc282d351c69cd5312752b1fbcfc2875cad660c4310c7d97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,899$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed No | 71c | 1,444$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Yes | 29c | 1,442$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 1,203$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 15c | 1,012$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 406.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 387.11$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 359.96$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 301.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 94.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 72c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.