Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2580845d9b516eb65bad25c5bd0047e04d6a73eee3a01d6a7c7df59cea9c4226

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	58c	7,256$4,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,061.52	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	42c	4,337$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed No	58c	3,490$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.09	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No	58c	1,682$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.51	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+6.7wins	+0.25per pick	38cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	42c	1,294$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.59	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	58c	999.91$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.96	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	41c	815.36$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	65c	791.08$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.41	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	59c	677.5$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.77	243	44.9%109 W · 134 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No	62c	652.83$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes	37c	586.93$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.31	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-6.3wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-58%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c71…a716backed Yes	42c	535.71$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	72	18.1%13 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No	59c	483.7$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.32	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d0…24b5backed Yes	31c	478.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No	59c	470$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.7	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes	43c	465.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No	75c	397.76$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.44	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	59c	362.79$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.74	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	42c	357.14$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes	41c	350$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	59c	299.99$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cc1…560bbacked No	58c	250.95$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed No	58c	250.94$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed No	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5a…a270backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	40%58 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes	42c	235.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	65c	223.01$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.67	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	216.3$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.74	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	60c	212$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.25	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824f…e635backed Yes	29c	199.97$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes	42c	180$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8789…3f84backed Yes	42c	171.52$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	68c	167.37$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.94	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes	40c	145.84$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.84	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes	42c	142.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+11.5wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	9c	119.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0519…3b47backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes	41c	117.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	42c	116.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23d7…101ebacked Yes	30c	116.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	57c	109.49$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes	25c	107.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…af2fbacked Yes	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No	61c	105.22$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.03	122	41%50 W · 72 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c0…03a9backed Yes	42c	97.62$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	26c	94.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb73…4f95backed Yes	42c	93.12$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	95	42.1%40 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes	42c	90.93$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	59c	87$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf85f…67c2backed Yes	42c	83.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	59c	75.97$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.52	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes	41c	74.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	189	47.6%90 W · 99 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes	42c	73.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea2…f25ebacked Yes	42c	72.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Yes	42c	70.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes	40c	62.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…2b50backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes	37c	60.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes	40c	59.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	71	67.6%48 W · 23 L	+7.8wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes	42c	57.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	190	31.6%60 W · 130 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed No	60c	56.73$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.69	152	29.6%45 W · 107 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed No	60c	55.21$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.08	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa03b…7483backed Yes	42c	48.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f6…24d5backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	311	47.9%149 W · 162 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c7…8a6abacked Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9424…9b81backed Yes	39c	43.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x745e…964bbacked Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	179	33.5%60 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6504…cff6backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e26…4959backed Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…7199backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e24…2406backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No	68c	35.79$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event