Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Nicolas Kicker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d69b3e397b1b52f165575a6ee40e55edf8144c23bc13a602b065e32e7473b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kickerof Cadenasso, Kicker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kicker | 68c | 3,174$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.18 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cadenasso | 32c | 2,963$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kicker | 60c | 1,112$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cadenasso | 26c | 983.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cadenasso | 28c | 410$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cadenasso | 45c | 318.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Kicker | 76c | 291$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cadenasso | 32c | 290.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cadenasso | 21c | 271$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kicker | 46c | 260.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kicker | 46c | 210.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kicker | 46c | 201.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Kicker | 48c | 200.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kicker | 49c | 193.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Cadenasso | 56c | 177.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Cadenasso | 52c | 160.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Cadenasso | 54c | 159.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cadenasso | 9c | 145.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kicker | 45c | 120.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cadenasso | 16c | 116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Kicker | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cadenasso | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kicker | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Kicker | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Kicker | 55c | 98.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kicker | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…572abacked Kicker | 69c | 80.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Cadenasso | 53c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Cadenasso | 57c | 70.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kicker | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cadenasso | 47c | 60.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…d691backed Cadenasso | 55c | 53.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cadenasso | 30c | 51.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cadenasso | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kicker | 49c | 39.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cadenasso | 32c | 37.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Kicker | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Cadenasso | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Cadenasso | 52c | 30.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kicker | 47c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Cadenasso | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Cadenasso | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.