Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Camilla Rosatello vs Mona Barthel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1df599900ec733203051a03e2b26a0e63c9f0c174754add07b592994f61e756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barthelof Rosatello, Barthel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rosatello | 10c | 7,012$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rosatello | 13c | 2,431$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Rosatello | 15c | 1,128$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Rosatello | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Rosatello | 15c | 533.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Rosatello | 21c | 486.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Rosatello | 25c | 394.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rosatello | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Rosatello | 12c | 229.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Barthel | 78c | 227.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Rosatello | 32c | 179$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Rosatello | 28c | 178.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rosatello | 24c | 157.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Rosatello | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Rosatello | 18c | 100.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Rosatello | 12c | 90.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Barthel | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Barthel | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Barthel | 75c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.