La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4893020da86a666886f8de2ddbf44676a35cd266b8e5122b860b2be8bb7dcea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bb…bd91backed Yes | 47c | 758.06$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…96d6backed Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 499.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 493.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 53c | 358.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 319.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 301.29$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 256.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 241.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 47c | 208.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…c8a4backed Yes | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 32c | 73.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…5b59backed Yes | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- RCD Mallorca leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.