Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3390dc3b86318413b760551b8082e1dabf8d06687493411f39aa518552d948ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,611 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 40c | 209,408$84,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,081.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 60c | 122,605$73,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,562.93 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 31,039$18,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,533.27 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 54c | 10,008$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 8,606$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 59c | 5,932$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.88 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 62c | 4,844$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 39c | 3,826$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.08 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 59c | 3,576$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 60c | 3,322$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.19 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 59c | 2,550$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 59c | 2,519$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.23 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 2,112$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.31 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,065$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 40c | 1,720$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.84 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Over | 39c | 1,325$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 10c | 1,132$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Under | 48c | 989.58$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Under | 53c | 981.13$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 55c | 963.64$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 59c | 940$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under | 63c | 794.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Over | 40c | 775.38$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 60c | 699.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 585.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.1 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 550$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 60c | 500.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 60c | 500.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 497.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 469.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 59c | 320$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 40c | 316$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 62c | 237.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 59c | 219$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 216.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 60c | 213$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 60c | 172.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 40c | 171.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 38c | 152.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 60c | 146.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 56c | 130.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 59c | 125.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 59c | 122$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 110.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.