South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4976e2cc998786a85cf1bd0267303fe71bfbacc086dc4397d0c570a479fe24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 38c | 9,143$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.46 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,417$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 3,815$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Over | 29c | 2,910$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 1c | 1,116$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 814.98$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 788.05$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 30c | 638.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 632.69$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 558.88$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 62c | 410.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 62c | 410.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 41c | 401.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 62c | 361.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 62c | 323.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 315.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 62c | 312.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 35c | 271.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 234.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 62c | 220.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 201.13$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 71c | 187.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 9c | 180.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 59c | 170.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 62c | 164.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 72c | 132.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 13c | 132.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 62c | 130.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 62c | 130.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 13c | 125.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 116.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…c9c5backed Under | 71c | 76.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 64c | 72.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 71.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 65.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 62c | 65.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 62c | 65.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 62c | 65.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 62c | 65.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 64.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 72c | 56.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 53.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 69c | 51.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Over | 40c | 48.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 62c | 46.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 62c | 46.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 46c | 36.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 63c | 33.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 60c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 68c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 59c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 71c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.