South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647c73f78e5bacbb77fb7c5de14895109b3cf6cc183f074f62951b087b94c20f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,721$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 3,132$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.31 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,112$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 63c | 1,956$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 1,164$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.37 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 76c | 1,038$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 924.54$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.04 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 48c | 872.19$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.22 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 73c | 672.05$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 10c | 399.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 71c | 380$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 72c | 361.12$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 299.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 17c | 242.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 77c | 240.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 57c | 231.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 195.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 191.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 185.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 175.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 67c | 146.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 66c | 110.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…b9d4backed Under | 32c | 107.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 65c | 99.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Under | 44c | 91.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 88.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Under | 43c | 79.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 66c | 77.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 49c | 74.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 57c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 67.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 56c | 58.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 57.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 54.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 69c | 45.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…c9c5backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 45c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 37c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 39c | 28.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 40c | 27.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 42c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 63c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Over | 64c | 22.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a363backed Over | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.