South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ca35467f074f4fdca4bb61584dc98fd643ceb70050c16f8f9289fb47877ebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 35c | 3,346$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,223$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 653.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 621.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed No | 17c | 526$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 38c | 377.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 38c | 262.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed No | 74c | 249.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed No | 11c | 244.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 222.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 47c | 206.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 59c | 166.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 61c | 156.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 60c | 151.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 74.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 72.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 17c | 61.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 51c | 57.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 67c | 56.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 55.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 49c | 49.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes | 59c | 47.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 66c | 37.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 64c | 36.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 64c | 36.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 66c | 34.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…6084backed Yes | 57c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 34c | 30.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 69c | 29.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 73c | 24.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 73c | 24.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.