TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,641 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No19c4,396$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.518,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9716543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Yes74c2,667$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.292045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c2,218$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.0749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes72c2,035$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.091,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes57c1,967$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c1,731$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.793,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c1,072$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.371,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c901.8$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.341,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4149651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes48c888.13$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.837745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes54c798.99$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No43c691.64$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.011,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No30c648.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3510922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c613.93$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.365,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.991,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No7c485.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.646141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c448.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.231,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No27c370.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1128231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c365.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.751,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No40c365.47$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.851,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes56c311$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No44c311$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.845950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7311…7bd6backed No26c266.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No20c264.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No27c264.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.977437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes57c242.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4945946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c226.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.914141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes56c215.51$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.933737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c209.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.161,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No6c194.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.327133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No45c155.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c147.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.711,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x052e…7926backed Yes75c116$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No19c108.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c101$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9977151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No20c98.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked Yes55c94.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Yes80c90.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.298149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No16c81.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No42c71.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2229245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes56c71.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.55949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec91…c229backed Yes55c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No34c67.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes56c61.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2620142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.618160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Yes55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No43c52.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.792,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.456342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60db…7762backed Yes76c37.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No44c33.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes79c33.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.253253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c33.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.493,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.474075%30 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes77c31.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed No52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes55c28.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9311262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes55c28.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0216453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e2…9c00backed Yes41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079c…a211backed No54c24.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.271553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb987…05b6backed Yes77c22.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.438843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0591…fb4abacked Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Yes73c18.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes78c15.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.444963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes76c13.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.