TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked No18c55,699$10,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.848245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No17c16,793$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.768545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No18c14,770$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.565846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No20c10,931$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No8c7,098$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.1852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No17c5,704$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.433745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No18c5,225$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.534042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No1c5,137$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.375841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No7c4,486$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No18c4,198$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.6833847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No12c3,821$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No18c2,888$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.847143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No18c2,750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed No19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.085448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c2,610$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.283,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No18c2,270$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.635158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No19c2,050$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.992931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No2c1,900$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.36139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c1,892$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1536136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c1,720$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No10c1,195$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.989148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No18c1,001$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1933349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No2c974.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.497851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No17c902.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.421925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No18c888$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No17c857.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.277550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No18c776$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6813650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No4c732.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.641816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No18c666$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8814252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No18c666$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8812948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No18c647.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.898658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No18c599.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9719027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No18c555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No13c543.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No18c499.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No18c490.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3419736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes80c468.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No18c444$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.926741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No18c444$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9210554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No18c444$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.926144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No18c332$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.769037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No18c332$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.766344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No18c332$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.768444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No18c332$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.768046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.968250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.966446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9614756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.968551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9623757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No18c221.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No18c198$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No18c198$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.643050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No18c172$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9611562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No10c169.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6511644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked No16c163.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No18c158$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No18c158$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.442748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No21c149.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.266513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed No18c132.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.815151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No18c121$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.788052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.989450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987252.8%38 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No18c104.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes80c96.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.292263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed No18c61.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.