Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fcb62c3a65c40735c9148f6a905c6951cc5ab3fe49be1fe48dc1e5ecce8e302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 18c | 55,699$10,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,025.84 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 17c | 16,793$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.76 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 18c | 14,770$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.56 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 20c | 10,931$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 7,098$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 17c | 5,704$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.43 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 18c | 5,225$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.53 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 1c | 5,137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 7c | 4,486$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 18c | 4,198$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.68 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 3,821$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.56 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 18c | 2,888$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 18c | 2,750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed No | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 2,610$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 18c | 2,270$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 2,050$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 2c | 1,900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 1,892$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.15 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,720$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 1,195$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 18c | 1,001$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 2c | 974.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 17c | 902.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 18c | 888$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 17c | 857.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 18c | 776$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 4c | 732.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 18c | 666$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 18c | 666$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 18c | 647.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 18c | 599.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 13c | 543.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 18c | 499.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 490.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 468.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 18c | 332$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 18c | 332$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 18c | 332$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 18c | 332$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 18c | 221.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 18c | 172$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 169.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked No | 16c | 163.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 18c | 158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 18c | 158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 149.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 18c | 132.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 18c | 121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 18c | 104.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 80c | 96.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 18c | 61.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.