College Football · resolved market
Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70eed15a2cf06351e1b88c674ac4df63e994e1b4eee3fb8323fb6dde1e80c5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Purdue Boilermakers | 5c | 30,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 13,750$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 4,762$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…b2a5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 3,148$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…3cd3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 3,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 2,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 1,510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Purdue Boilermakers | 7c | 1,464$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 1,329$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…ee77backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 833.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…783cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 795.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 737.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…4030backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 727.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…c0a9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 613.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 599.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 509.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…1849backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…34cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 292.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…3e44backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakersthis page
- Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-28.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.