Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e2bdde10659a513ef6a68774ccf1cdc8a4ac1124a1a128120f99c3083ec3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Gastonof Hugo Gaston, Colton Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Hugo Gaston | 33c | 52,117$17,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,918.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Colton Smith | 5c | 36,824$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.36 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c7f0backed Hugo Gaston | 58c | 25,227$14,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,523.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Colton Smith | 46c | 21,522$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 386 | 47.4%183 W · 203 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colton Smith | 53c | 16,821$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,955.28 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 14,811$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.36 | 682 | 49.6%338 W · 344 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith | 54c | 12,063$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.19 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Colton Smith | 14c | 10,592$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.49 | 2,160 | 54%1,166 W · 994 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Hugo Gaston | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.96 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Colton Smith | 42c | 7,824$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.54 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hugo Gaston | 54c | 5,319$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.07 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colton Smith | 67c | 5,231$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.22 | 3,752 | 45.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colton Smith | 28c | 4,867$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.36 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hugo Gaston | 55c | 4,675$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.12 | 1,733 | 48.4%839 W · 894 L | +40.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Colton Smith | 68c | 4,350$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.44 | 4,803 | 49.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L | +174.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Colton Smith | 7c | 4,141$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 989 | 7.9%78 W · 911 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Hugo Gaston | 54c | 4,075$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Colton Smith | 45c | 3,148$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.9 | 2,369 | 52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L | +87.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Colton Smith | 48c | 2,800$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.52 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Colton Smith | 4c | 2,708$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 323 | 35.9%116 W · 207 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Colton Smith | 42c | 2,495$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.64 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Colton Smith | 51c | 2,323$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.72 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hugo Gaston | 76c | 2,227$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…db10backed Colton Smith | 45c | 2,181$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hugo Gaston | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.71 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Hugo Gaston | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 283 | 42%119 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Hugo Gaston | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.63 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Colton Smith | 40c | 1,838$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.08 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Colton Smith | 37c | 1,752$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.24 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Hugo Gaston | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Colton Smith | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 1,893 | 45.9%868 W · 1,025 L | +53.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Hugo Gaston | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.94 | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…235fbacked Colton Smith | 60c | 1,542$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Colton Smith | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 524 | 50.4%264 W · 260 L | -27.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colton Smith | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…5749backed Hugo Gaston | 29c | 1,464$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Hugo Gaston | 62c | 1,436$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 1,852 | 46.6%863 W · 989 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Colton Smith | 56c | 1,422$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,461 | 48.8%713 W · 748 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Hugo Gaston | 55c | 1,416$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.2 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Colton Smith | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1,895 | 44.9%851 W · 1,044 L | +38.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Colton Smith | 6c | 1,355$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Hugo Gaston | 36c | 1,327$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.4 | 488 | 35.2%172 W · 316 L | -18.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Hugo Gaston | 62c | 1,177$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 339 | 51%173 W · 166 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Colton Smith | 25c | 1,158$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Hugo Gaston | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colton Smith | 53c | 1,037$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.94 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Colton Smith | 6c | 1,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Colton Smith | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Colton Smith | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 371 | 53.6%199 W · 172 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Colton Smith | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…7150backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Hugo Gaston | 34c | 891.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.32 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Hugo Gaston | 37c | 867.32$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.41 | 1,872 | 48.2%902 W · 970 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Colton Smith | 4c | 787.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1,210 | 7.9%96 W · 1,114 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…0fcbbacked Colton Smith | 43c | 779.77$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hugo Gaston | 41c | 754.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.79 | 1,123 | 37.2%418 W · 705 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Hugo Gaston | 54c | 737.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 745 | 58.5%436 W · 309 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Hugo Gaston | 78c | 708.24$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 704$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 2,882 | 47.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L | +39.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Hugo Gaston | 57c | 669.93$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.07 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Colton Smith | 51c | 665.78$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.84 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…472fbacked Colton Smith | 39c | 630.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Colton Smith | 59c | 584.28$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.73 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Hugo Gaston | 67c | 572.84$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 995 | 51.6%513 W · 482 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Hugo Gaston | 39c | 569.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.59 | 519 | 41%213 W · 306 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Colton Smith | 4c | 557.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hugo Gaston | 41c | 556.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.13 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Colton Smith | 74c | 550$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 459 | 48.8%224 W · 235 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Hugo Gaston | 57c | 545.12$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Hugo Gaston | 53c | 507.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith | 62c | 500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 478.63$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 1,250 | 46.2%578 W · 672 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Colton Smith | 37c | 455.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Hugo Gaston | 57c | 440$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 269 | 45.4%122 W · 147 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Colton Smith | 66c | 424.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 780 | 55.4%432 W · 348 L | +52.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Hugo Gaston | 44c | 414.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Colton Smith | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,006 | 40%402 W · 604 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Hugo Gaston | 72c | 400$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Hugo Gaston | 31c | 399.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.04 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Hugo Gaston | 42c | 390$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Hugo Gaston | 38c | 389.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.47 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Colton Smith | 62c | 370.32$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Hugo Gaston | 31c | 367.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 622 | 42.1%262 W · 360 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hugo Gaston | 63c | 354.07$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…03c7backed Hugo Gaston | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hugo Gaston | 51c | 334$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…030bbacked Colton Smith | 74c | 332.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Colton Smith | 49c | 320.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 454 | 44.7%203 W · 251 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…888bbacked Colton Smith | 4c | 319.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Hugo Gaston | 33c | 317.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Colton Smith | 41c | 305.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 2,255 | 37.1%836 W · 1,419 L | +43.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Hugo Gaston | 35c | 300.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Hugo Gaston | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Hugo Gaston | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Hugo Gaston | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Colton Smith | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 477 | 40.3%192 W · 285 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Hugo Gaston | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colton Smith | 56c | 266.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 4,305 | 45%1,939 W · 2,366 L | +20.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Hugo Gaston | 36c | 263.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Hugo Gaston | 52c | 254.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 606 | 41.3%250 W · 356 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smiththis page
- Set 2 Winner: Gaston vs SmithGaston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.