La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc2cb47ef8a2f58ae98a9f87e748b625554161804f57a143ab5e147aff54620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 7,099$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.58 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 4,775$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.91 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 9c | 3,028$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 1c | 2,838$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 1,724$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.82 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 36c | 1,638$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 1,320$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.59 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 1,193$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 31c | 1,048$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 69c | 953$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Under | 35c | 785.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 753.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 61c | 732.79$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 67c | 646.65$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 32c | 402.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 64c | 217.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 36c | 175.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 68c | 132.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 126.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 152 | 60.5%92 W · 60 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 69c | 69.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 67.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 57.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 64c | 37.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…d8e8backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 37c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 42c | 27.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 68c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 4.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 5.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)RC Deportivo A Coruña won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)RC Deportivo A Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.