Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb392da0c13b92b7879f86c77eb4f8b81b89fcbdd5f824c232de7a6c8c1d42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 50c | 2,321$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 2,291$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.64 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 1,173$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.34 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Over | 49c | 1,159$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,042$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.76 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Over | 49c | 1,026$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 883.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 852.53$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 61c | 479.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Over | 49c | 448.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 52c | 381.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 51c | 338.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 170.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 47c | 168.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Over | 66c | 168.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 51c | 162.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 51c | 100.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 75.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 49c | 64.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 77c | 60.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 50.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 31c | 40.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 51c | 33.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 29.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 63c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.