Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa78d5fc4f2c56130c17afb84b0e3bfb76517f76145d8f2391382062d845f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 27c | 7,582$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.09 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 3,762$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 55c | 2,757$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.26 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked Over | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 1,292$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.95 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,132$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 1,102$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.88 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 718.63$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 63c | 630.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 214.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 212.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…b9b2backed Over | 30c | 166.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 108.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 28c | 96.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 28c | 50.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Over | 49c | 40.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 28c | 38.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 33.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 33.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Under | 75c | 33.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 60c | 31.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 44c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 44c | 23.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.